It’s a bird. It’s a plane!
No. It’s something we never considered.
Poll predictions are heavily weighted to known yardsticks, previous election dynamics complemented with and sensitized to the economic impacts anticipated. A week ago, 8/29/2024, I posted “Pollsters Gone Crazy”, with lots of charts from Nate Silver and ABC’s 538. I was unable to resolve my underlying questions. I left that posting with the knowledge tha…
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to HOT BUTTONS to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.